Hayes said the crisis was caused by the collapse of the US Treasury in 10 years before the FRB invaded and resumed money printing.
If his forecasts unfolds, Hazes believes that during the crisis, the price of many “wax” will fall by more than 50 %, and present a great opportunity to accumulate before the market recovers.
After telling the majority of last year to the person who told me how bullish it was around 2025, the former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes was a major fix before the price of bitcoin became $ 250,000. I think it is for ($ 400 $ 400 k) this year.
Writing on his blog earlier this week, Haze looked at the worrisome signs of the encryption market in the past few weeks, especially the relationship between the US 10 -year finance/stock/bitcoin price and the performance of $ Trump. Memecoin -The latter says to his stomach that he created a hole.
I don’t think this bullshicle is over. However, on a positive stochastic base, we are more likely to rise from $ 70,000 to $ 75,000, and then increase to $ 250,000 by the end of the year, rather than continuing higher without the pullback of materials. I think.
Arthur Hayes Hayes was caused by 5 to 6 %, stating that it would be a catalyst for updating money printing in the United States and many countries due to the rise in the US Ministry of Finance bonds in the United States 10 years. , We expect a mini -financial crisis. He has reduced the price of bitcoin by 30-35 % to $ 70,000 to $ 75,000 ($ 113k -$ 120k), and some altcoins have exceeded 50 %.
Related: Arthur Hayes has predicted the market peak by March 2025, with a sharp increase in political uncertainty and dollar fluid.
Hayz: Introduction, we gave the rescue (again)
Hez believes that his main buyers are hedge funds with relative value at this time, and that his predicted collapse in the US Treasury has decreased due to the decrease in US debt demand. I am. Hayes believes that he will run out of money to keep buying.
When this happens, the price of the US Treasury in the United States declines in the United States’s 10 -year Finance, increasing yields exceeding 5 %, which increases interest rates such as mortgages and car loans.
This means that all people have less money for people to invest in encryption, and thus significant declining encrypted prices.
Of course, there is a true method that the US Federal Preparatory System tried to minimize the damage caused by this kind of mini -kids. Print more money. However, Hayes said that the Fed is unlikely to take this step (for most political reasons), and that the crisis has already been hit and then explained:
The statement of the former Federal Governor and the Federal Government’s actions in President Biden believed that I could do what I could do to irritate Trump’s agenda.
Arthur Hayes Ultimately, Hayes says that the Fed is forced to act and restart printing presses to save the US economy from a greater crisis.
However, there are restrictions on Fed’s obstruction. If a large -scale financial player fails or the empire itself Solvency, if the bank regulation, lowering the price of money, the Fed, the Fed will not hesitate to act accordingly.
Arthur Hayes Hayz says that $ Trump was the best signal
In addition to these macroeconomic factors, Hazes also believes that the performance of $ playing cards has reached a completely diluted market capitalization. Signs seen during the euphoric stage of the bullish market in 2021:
The $ Trump is the best signal in my heart, just as the FTX, which purchases the rights of the Judgment Logo in the US major league baseball, was in the 2021 bullish market.
Arthur Hayes Related: Australian analysts say that the release of Trump’s memoin has changed forever.
Ultimately, Hayes believes that the price of bitcoin can be about 30 % of the price of 60 %. If this happened, Haze said that many ALT and Memecoin would be hit much more violently, presenting a great opportunity to accumulate in the second half of the year.
When the bitcoin dumps, the space for each shit faces the Harmageddon. That’s where I really want to play … If bitcoin decreases by 30 %, the highest quality is> 50 %. Bitcoin’s last mega liquidation candle will tell you when it comes to backing up the truck and going shopping for cryptocation feces.
Arthur Hayes However, in the latter half of 2024, Haze has evaluated the success rate of his market forecast as 25 %, and it should be noted that short -term macro economic prediction is not important.