Don’t try to measure the top of the market

by SK
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Bitcoin (BTC) has recorded massive volatility over the past few weeks, simply going beyond the $100,000 milestone and into the $90,000 range. This sparked debate over whether the crypto market was at the top, and drew opinions from various analysts and traders.

Despite market fluctuations, many remain optimistic about the future trajectory of Bitcoin and altcoin, while others have warned against unconfirmed bullish sentiment.

Optimism about the first quarter and Bitcoin bullish trends

Crypto Rover is confident that history will repeat itself, and maintains Bitcoin’s price target remains unshakable at $175,000. A bullish breakout is imminent, according to well-known analysts.

“Q1 has always been bullish for altcoins. This time, it’s no different. I trust history,” Rover said.

Altcoins seasonal chart for Q1 since 2017. Source: X’s Crypto Rover

Meanwhile, some analysts are urging investors to shift their focus from the top of the short-term market. Instead, they should focus on identifying strong communities of longevity by citing “war of attrition” in the crypto space.

The HODL protocol reinforces that momentum should guide decisions rather than obsessed with whether the market has reached its peak. Their advice is to stay adaptable and focus on long-term benefits.

In the same tone, veteran investor Crypto Nova notes that he is trying to time the top of the market. Instead, she recommends gradually gaining profits, regardless of whether the market continues to rise. She argues that the strategy is ultimately superior to most traders.

“Listen to that from someone who’s been here for quite some time. Don’t try to spend time on the top of anything. Not Bitcoin, not your favorite alt, not anything. Ultimately, the goal is to be the top of the market. “It’s about making profits before it happens. Whether it continues to run or not. Doing that makes you better than almost anyone in this whole space,” the analyst said.

Trump’s impact on Bitcoin and the crypto market

Elsewhere, analyst Cryptom presents an interesting theory about the Trump family’s influence on the crypto market. He suggests that strategic announcements on tariffs and liquidity events will be used to lower Altcoin prices, and that Ethereum (ETH) is an attractive buy for major investors.

“Release Trump sucks liquidity from all alts and allows World Free FI to buy cheap ETH. Melania will dump all ALTs and allow World Liberty Fi to buy cheap ETH. Tariffs Announcement will result in a liquidation cascade in the already weak Altcoin market, allowing World Liberty Fi to buy cheap ETH. The call to the customs bag has been fulfilled,” writes Hoem.

This theory means that these events will ultimately create a shakeout that will benefit players who are well positioned.

Nachi, the top trader at Binance, sees the pattern in Trump’s market impact. He suggests that recent tariff news is a deliberate political manipulation to spark a crisis, shake up traders and allow key investors to accumulate Ethereum at a lower price. He believes that this cycle will be repeated with China, and is expected to shake even further before another large price rallies.

Ran Neuner, founder of Crypto Banter, repeatedly suggests that by referring to Eric Trump’s tweet, “It’s the best time to add ETH.” The tweet was later edited, with analysts like Duo Nine speculating about potential insider knowledge.

“Trump is the ultimate col,” Neuner said.

However, Defi Investor rebuts this view, claiming that Trump’s Defi project had already bought more than $100 million in Ethereum before Trump’s tariff announcement. This means that their holdings also suffered.

Beware amidst market uncertainty

Despite optimism, some analysts are urging caution. Andrew Kang considers the recent rally to be a massive mechanical bounce and advises traders to make as much profit as possible.

“Today’s large mechanical bounce. If you make good profits, IMO is a good place to secure them. For Alt, the simple mode ends. Average return buyer is the average spin I’m going to change to seller. There’s a much better opportunity to buy in February/March,” Kang advised.

In the same tone, Binaso advises traders to cash out profits in their bank accounts, not Stablecoins or other crypto assets. Analysts encourage disciplined approaches to ensuring profits. Others have joined the skepticism, with traders highlighting excessive leverage in the market as traders are the ultimate bitcoin increase since $15,000. Nevertheless, there is an extreme level of open interest that leaves the possibility of revisions high.

Market analyst Sachin Sharma has rebutted the notion of an imminent crash. He points out that the top of the true market is usually marked by excessive speculation and unsustainable ratings. He also argues that AI-driven innovations are more likely to drive growth than cause a slump.

“The market is on top when IPOs and speculative growth technologies are rising and not making profits. As a sector, technology finance metrics are still within one sigma. By the way, today we are leading the market to DIP. “All AI SAGAs have the promise to use AI to improve productivity, product, cash cycles, cost reductions and revenue growth,” the analyst challenged.

However, EVANSS6 takes a solid stance and estimates the 90-95% chance of a cycle being at the top.

The debate about whether the crypto market is at the top is so controversial that traders must navigate the market carefully. It balances risk management strategies and optimism to ultimately maximize profits, but investors also need to conduct their own research.

Performance at BTC Price
Performance at BTC price. Source: Beincrypto

According to Beincrypto data, BTC has traded at $98,900 at the time of this writing, an increase of more than 5% since Tuesday’s session was held.

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In compliance with Trust Project guidelines, Beincrypto is committed to reporting without bias and transparent. This news article is intended to provide accurate and timely information. However, we recommend that readers independently verify the facts and consult with experts before making decisions based on this content. Please note that our terms and conditions, privacy policy and disclaimer have been updated.

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