Raydium: Here’s why disciplined longs still back RAY’s run!

by SK
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TD Sequential sell signal appears as Raydium tests the $2.30 resistance level.
Long liquidation clusters form below $2.16, raising the risk of a deeper correction.

Raydium [RAY] has recorded an impressive recovery since its consolidation phase in March, climbing over 60% as bullish momentum returned to the altcoin market.

In fact, a TD Sequential sell signal has now surfaced on the daily chart—often a red flag that suggests trend exhaustion may be near.

The token is approaching a critical resistance zone near $2.30, where prior rejections have occurred.

With market participants eyeing this region closely, the next few sessions could determine whether this rally will extend further or stall into a corrective phase.

A cautiously bullish outlook

While price action continues to push upward, the Funding Rate tells a more grounded story.

The OI-Weighted Funding Rate sat at 0.0054% at press time, reflecting a slightly bullish sentiment without veering into overconfidence.

This neutral-to-positive rate suggests that while traders are positioned long, they are doing so with limited leverage. In fact, the lack of reckless leverage speaks to a more disciplined risk appetite.

This maturity in positioning reduces the odds of a wipeout and often lends staying power to trends.

Source: CoinGlass

RAY liquidation map reveals…

Derivatives heatmaps add an important layer to this outlook.

A dense cluster of long liquidations sits between $2.04 and $2.16, meaning a drop into this zone could trigger a rapid wave of forced selling.

On the other hand, short liquidations above $2.32 are comparatively thin, implying less friction if the price breaks higher. 

The liquidation map paints a picture of asymmetric risk: downside wicks could accelerate, while upside movement might be smoother. Maintaining support above $2.16 becomes crucial for sustaining this bullish setup.

Source: Coinglass

A healthy but cautious buildup

Market activity shows that traders are becoming more engaged, but not recklessly.

As of press time, Open Interest stood at $16.48 million, while volume surged to $37.8 million.

The divergence between volume and declining Open Interest highlights growing participation without a spike in speculative leverage. 

This divergence signals that participants are using spot and low-leverage plays rather than piling into speculative bets. That restraint, in turn, gives this rally stronger legs.

Source: CoinGlass

Breakout potential above $2.51 resistance

Technically, RAY has cleared the upper boundary of a prolonged accumulation range between $1.48 and $2.51. The asset is forming higher lows, with structure favoring continuation if buying pressure sustains.

At press time, the token traded at $2.27—up 3.57% in 24 hours. However, bulls must protect $2.16 and push decisively above $2.51 to validate a breakout.

If these conditions are met, the next significant resistance lies at $4.50—a zone that previously rejected momentum and triggered a reversal.

Reclaiming that level would confirm a larger trend shift in favor of buyers.

Source: TradingView

Cautious optimism

Despite the TD Sequential sell signal hinting at short-term exhaustion, broader metrics continue to support the bullish narrative.

Funding Rates remain steady, leverage is contained, and volume growth signals growing conviction. 

As long as bulls defend $2.16 and break above $2.51 with momentum, the uptrend remains in play. However, a dip below support could shift sentiment rapidly, triggering liquidations and exposing RAY to deeper losses.

Next: Bitcoin dominance crosses 64% in 4 years: 2021-style altcoin season to return?

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